Excerpt from Political Prophecies: An Address to the Edinburgh Philosophical Society, Delivered Nov; 5, 1918
The great perturbation of human affairs which the world has experienced during the past four years has given rise in every region of society to a vague expectation of change. In whatever direction we turn, whether we listen to the voices of the crowd in our own streets or to the murmurs which float in upon us from India or Arabia, from the Siberian Plains, or the sunlit coasts of the Pacific, we hear the same multitudinous hum of vague expectancy. The great war will usher in a new era, create a new society, replace old ideals by new ideals, establish the human family on a new basis, draw the lines of states upon a plan dictated by reasoned foresight, and once and for all eliminate the poisons which infect the body politic of Europe and those other parts of the habitable world which have fallen under European influence and control. Unless statesmanship and morality are alike bankrupt, the tragedy of such a war as this must not recur. Schemes are drawn up for a regenerate Europe, for a purified and pacified world. Belief in progress is too deep-rooted to admit of our seeing in this European cataclysm nothing but a great retrogression, only by long and painful struggles to be retrieved. The greater the obvious calamity, the more determined are we to read into it a presage of benefits commensurate with the unchallenged and palpable evil. Never have the prophets been more active.
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